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Space · Data story · By ChartGlow · Published

The space race flipped in four years

At the end of 2021, Russia still held a four-launch lead over the United States in the tally since 2000. Four years later, the order was US, China, Russia. The finish transformed the whole race.

Four launches: that was all that separated Russia’s 523 attempts from America’s 519. It was the last year Russia would lead this comparison. The US moved ahead in 2022. China, still well behind both at that point, passed Russia in 2025.

These are orbital launch attempts accumulated from 1 January 2000, using space historian Jonathan McDowell’s catalogue. The clock starts fresh at the start of 2000; this is not an all-time ranking. Failed launches and certain near-orbital test flights count, too. We are measuring how often these countries tried to reach orbit, rather than declaring who won space.

Every year adds to the total since 2000. Complete years through 2025; moving bars connect annual observations. Data: J. McDowell, planet4589.org.

The lead that took two decades to overturn

Russia begins with a modest advantage: 32 attempts in 2000, against 29 for the US and five for China. Those first bars are close enough to suggest a quick exchange. Instead, the lead endures.

By the end of 2014, Russia has accumulated 394 attempts, compared with America’s 314. A cumulative race has a memory. A slower year does not erase earlier launches; a challenger has to make up the distance before it can change the order.

That makes the late surge more revealing. The American annual count reaches 181 in 2025, up from 45 in 2021. Four years of activity carry the US from narrowly trailing Russia to a commanding lead in the total since 2000.

China makes the second pass

The last reshuffle is a different kind of finish. At the end of 2024, China’s total is 575, just five short of Russia’s 580. Another close gap is about to disappear.

In 2025, China adds 92 attempts while Russia adds 17. China takes second place in this three-country comparison, finishing at 667 against Russia’s 597. The US ends at 1,031.

The choice of starting line matters. These totals describe activity since 2000, not the Soviet era or the entire history of spaceflight. But they capture something a single annual ranking cannot: how long an early advantage can last, and how quickly a different launch tempo can finally overwhelm it.

A busy launchpad is only one measure of space

A rocket carrying many satellites still counts as one attempt. A flight carrying people and one carrying communications hardware also count once each. This tally does not compare payload mass, scientific discoveries, cost or reliability.

Commercial activity is central to the American finish. McDowell records 165 Falcon 9 launches in 2025, plus five Starship tests. That helps explain the scale of the US count, although a country total should never be read as a NASA-only total. His classification also counts Rocket Lab launches from New Zealand under New Zealand, despite the company’s American headquarters.

Space has many scoreboards. This one tells a story about repetition: how often a launchpad is used, year after year. For most of this race, the old lead survives. Then, in the final four years, the entire order changes. Sometimes the most dramatic part of a long race is how late the early lead finally gives way.

Sources, method and image credits

Data from J. McDowell, Jonathan’s Space Report launch statistics, based on the General Catalog of Artificial Space Objects, CC BY 4.0. We select USA, Russia and China from the orbital-attempts table, accessed 24 October 2026, last updated 12 October 2026. There are 26 complete annual counts per country, 2000–2025. Each is added once from the shared starting date. Partial 2026 is excluded. The annual counts and running totals are available together in the dataset.

Definitions and the 2025 launch-vehicle counts are described in Space Activities in 2025, revision 1.4, 4 February 2026. Attempts include failures and selected near-orbital flights, including Starship tests; other classifications can produce different totals. Countries follow McDowell’s classifications, not simply the location of the launchpad. Russia’s launches abroad remain Russian; Electron flights from Mahia are assigned to New Zealand.

The live table gives 144 American attempts in 2024, revised from 145 in the February review. We use the live table consistently for every annual count and cumulative total. Earlier observations may be revised. Animation between year-end points is illustrative, not a dated record of individual launches or a claim about the exact day an overtake occurred.

Background: NASA/Keegan Barber, Crew-9 launch, 28 September 2024. A NASA federal photograph used under the NASA Image and Media Usage Guidelines; cropped, positioned and faded. It illustrates launch activity, not every country or year shown. National flags: Flagcdn. No generated imagery or NASA endorsement. Full supporting notes and credits.